EBS Bracketology, 2016/03/08

The regular-season games are done. Scores of teams are one loss away from the end of their 2015-16 campaigns. Championship Week is a high-intensity, high-stakes rite that brings us to obscure corners of the internet such as this.

Cincinnati’s defense of their floor against SMU was a big RPI get for the Bearcats, and their EBS stock rose accordingly, from the 10 line to the 8 line. After a relatively innocuous midweek loss to St. Bonaventure in Rochester, however, St. Joseph’s dropped the ball by letting Duquesne ruin Senior Day. The 13-spot hit the Hawks took in KenPom saw them slide to the 10 line from the 8 line.

After USC defeated Oregon State in Los Angeles last week, it’s curious to see that the Trojans and Beavers have swapped spots, with USC now a 12 and Oregon State now a 10. I don’t have an explanation for that one.

Here’s the EBS bubble rundown, 5 days out:

Last Four Byes: Oregon State (9), Colorado (8), Gonzaga (4th Out), Tulsa (3rd Out)
First Four: Princeton (-), USC (8), Providence (8), Florida (6th Out)
First Four Out: Pittsburgh (10), Syracuse (10), St. Bonaventure (10), South Carolina (9)
Next Four Out: Monmouth (1st Out–shed a tear), Florida State (10th Out), Michigan (5th Out), Houston (8th Out)

There are some curiosities here, of course. I’ve added the Bracket Matrix consensus seeds to these teams for context. Such are the limitations of a two-variable formula. I will certainly spend more time discussing that later on.

Access the full breakdown here, or check out the seed list after the jump.

1s: Kansas, Virginia, Villanova, Oklahoma

2s: North Carolina, West Virginia, Michigan State, Oregon

3s: Miami, Xavier, Kentucky, Indiana

4s: Purdue, Utah, Maryland, California

5s: Duke, Iowa State, Arizona, Iowa

6s: Texas A&M, Texas, Baylor, Wisconsin

7s: Wichita State, Texas Tech, Seton Hall, Saint Mary’s

8s: Cincinnati, Vanderbilt, Notre Dame, Valparaiso

9s: VCU, Dayton, Butler, San Diego State

10s: Saint Joseph’s, Yale, Connecticut, Oregon State

11s: Colorado, Gonzaga, Tulsa, Arkansas-Little Rock

12s: Princeton, USC, Providence, Florida, South Dakota State, Akron

13s: Stephen F. Austin, UNC Wilmington, Northern Iowa, Stony Brook

14s: Iona, Chattanooga, Hawaii, UAB

15s: New Mexico State, UNC Asheville, Green Bay, Weber State

16s: Lehigh, Wagner, Texas Southern, Florida Gulf Coast, Austin Peay, Hampton


Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )


Connecting to %s