The regular-season games are done. Scores of teams are one loss away from the end of their 2015-16 campaigns. Championship Week is a high-intensity, high-stakes rite that brings us to obscure corners of the internet such as this.
Cincinnati’s defense of their floor against SMU was a big RPI get for the Bearcats, and their EBS stock rose accordingly, from the 10 line to the 8 line. After a relatively innocuous midweek loss to St. Bonaventure in Rochester, however, St. Joseph’s dropped the ball by letting Duquesne ruin Senior Day. The 13-spot hit the Hawks took in KenPom saw them slide to the 10 line from the 8 line.
After USC defeated Oregon State in Los Angeles last week, it’s curious to see that the Trojans and Beavers have swapped spots, with USC now a 12 and Oregon State now a 10. I don’t have an explanation for that one.
Here’s the EBS bubble rundown, 5 days out:
Last Four Byes: Oregon State (9), Colorado (8), Gonzaga (4th Out), Tulsa (3rd Out)
First Four: Princeton (-), USC (8), Providence (8), Florida (6th Out)
First Four Out: Pittsburgh (10), Syracuse (10), St. Bonaventure (10), South Carolina (9)
Next Four Out: Monmouth (1st Out–shed a tear), Florida State (10th Out), Michigan (5th Out), Houston (8th Out)
There are some curiosities here, of course. I’ve added the Bracket Matrix consensus seeds to these teams for context. Such are the limitations of a two-variable formula. I will certainly spend more time discussing that later on.
Access the full breakdown here, or check out the seed list after the jump.
1s: Kansas, Virginia, Villanova, Oklahoma
2s: North Carolina, West Virginia, Michigan State, Oregon
3s: Miami, Xavier, Kentucky, Indiana
4s: Purdue, Utah, Maryland, California
5s: Duke, Iowa State, Arizona, Iowa
6s: Texas A&M, Texas, Baylor, Wisconsin
7s: Wichita State, Texas Tech, Seton Hall, Saint Mary’s
8s: Cincinnati, Vanderbilt, Notre Dame, Valparaiso
9s: VCU, Dayton, Butler, San Diego State
10s: Saint Joseph’s, Yale, Connecticut, Oregon State
11s: Colorado, Gonzaga, Tulsa, Arkansas-Little Rock
12s: Princeton, USC, Providence, Florida, South Dakota State, Akron
13s: Stephen F. Austin, UNC Wilmington, Northern Iowa, Stony Brook
14s: Iona, Chattanooga, Hawaii, UAB
15s: New Mexico State, UNC Asheville, Green Bay, Weber State
16s: Lehigh, Wagner, Texas Southern, Florida Gulf Coast, Austin Peay, Hampton